No position
Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $2.24K
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $23.79
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $499.69
Polymarket Trader
0x34dBc406881A24B82F4b138e09169d9a004B1B63-1777004802209
0x34dbc406881a24b82f4b138e09169d9a004b1b63
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.9K
- Realized PnL
- $1.14K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $1.56K
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $454.09
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $117.57
Yes position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $815.58
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $358.08
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $86.93
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $284.54
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $876.85
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $10.99
Yes position
Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $944.36
- Potential payout
- $977.6
- Potential profit
- $33.24
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $32.66
Yes position
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $336.03
- Potential payout
- $407.31
- Potential profit
- $71.28
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $255.43
- Potential payout
- $263.19
- Potential profit
- $7.76
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Will June 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.49
- Potential payout
- $198.31
- Potential profit
- $196.82
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$11.21
Yes position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $3.28
- Potential payout
- $177.09
- Potential profit
- $173.81
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $146.21
- Potential payout
- $148.66
- Potential profit
- $2.45
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $9.4
Yes position
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $4.56
- Potential payout
- $136.09
- Potential profit
- $131.53
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $115.69
- Potential payout
- $117.51
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $6.97
No position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $81.81
- Potential payout
- $82.51
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will June 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $42.34
- Potential payout
- $43.31
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $39.62
- Potential payout
- $41.08
- Potential profit
- $1.46
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $26.81
- Potential profit
- $24.79
- Multiplier
- 13.25x
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.8%
- Current value
- $13.02
- Potential payout
- $16.74
- Potential profit
- $3.72
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be at least 5m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $4.32
- Potential payout
- $4.53
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $2.54
- Potential profit
- $0.86
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $822.76
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.3
Yes position
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.94
Yes position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.3%
- Multiplier
- 4.49x
- User PnL
- $50.57
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.58
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $31.65
Yes position
Will Hong Kong have between 220-230mm of precipitation in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.84
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.1
No position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $10.67
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.46
Yes position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $3.35
No position
Will May 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
No position
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Multiplier
- 23.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No 78% 20 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?Yes 25% 100 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?Yes 25% 100 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?Yes 25% 100 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?Yes 25% 50 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?Yes 25% 50 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?Yes 25% 50 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?Yes 25% 50 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?Yes 25% 50 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?Yes 25% 50 shares
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No 77% 80 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?Yes 25% 50 shares