No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $565.96
- Potential payout
- $567.66
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- User PnL
- $37.95
Polymarket Trader
0x34dc80F95407Cd8E02be6cd7437027547c4dd280-1771870222841
0x34dc80f95407cd8e02be6cd7437027547c4dd280
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.92K
- Realized PnL
- $883.96
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $558.62
- Potential payout
- $558.9
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- User PnL
- $58.62
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $408.76
- Potential payout
- $427.8
- Potential profit
- $19.04
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $16.02
Yes position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $49.67
- Potential payout
- $382.1
- Potential profit
- $332.43
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $3.67
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $305.91
- Potential payout
- $339.9
- Potential profit
- $33.99
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $5.91
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $205.39
- Potential payout
- $220.5
- Potential profit
- $15.1
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $210.76
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $6.63
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $10.76
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $132.17
- Potential payout
- $164.18
- Potential profit
- $32.02
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $32.17
No position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $114.05
- Potential payout
- $116.37
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.05
No position
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $101.86
- Potential payout
- $106.72
- Potential profit
- $4.86
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.86
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $66.05
- Potential payout
- $66.08
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $6.05
No position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.9%
- Current value
- $47.69
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $7.86
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$2.31
No position
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $51.05
- Potential payout
- $53.94
- Potential profit
- $2.89
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $28.04
- Potential payout
- $43.47
- Potential profit
- $15.43
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $8.48
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $24.55
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $5.76
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $4.55
Yes position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $27.03
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.38
- Potential profit
- $25.38
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $16.02
- Potential payout
- $24.1
- Potential profit
- $8.07
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$3.98
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $4.17
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $19.64
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.69
- Potential profit
- $23.69
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $23.05
- Potential profit
- $21.56
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $19.66
- Potential payout
- $22.99
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $10.7
- Potential payout
- $12.97
- Potential profit
- $2.27
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $12.82
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.95
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.36
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.8
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.09
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.85
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.75
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.59
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.51
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.12
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.98
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.82
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No 83% 24.1 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No 82% 6.1 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No 90.8% 66.08 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 95% 105.26 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?No 94.4% 53.19 shares
- Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?No 82% 6.1 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 66% 30.3 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 24% 38.46 shares
- Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No 89% 5.62 shares
- Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?No 93.7% 106.72 shares
- Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?No 92.7% 53.94 shares
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No 79% 12.66 shares