No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.5K
- Potential profit
- $15.5K
- User PnL
- -$31
Polymarket Trader
saneperson
@2laxar
0x34f9a6c6ceed499b4f95dcceb2856d22b2a30540
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $8.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$539.75
No position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $580.93
- Potential profit
- $580.93
- User PnL
- -$238.18
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $497.59
- Potential profit
- $497.59
- User PnL
- -$38.28
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $466.16
- Potential profit
- $466.16
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $434.05
- Potential profit
- $434.05
- User PnL
- -$23
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.34
- Potential profit
- $333.34
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $323.59
- Potential profit
- $323.59
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.35
- Potential profit
- $214.35
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.02
- Potential profit
- $78.02
- User PnL
- -$21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Argentina position
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $757
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $594.74
Yes position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $574.36
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $435.28
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $346.99
No position
Will XRP dip to $1.70 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.8
No position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.15
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.49
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.73
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.85
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $216.09
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $189.18
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.34
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $168.42
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $168.34
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.61
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $141.93
No position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.14
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $136.13
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $132.21
Yes position
Ethereum above $4400 on August 22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.82
No position
Will Powell say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.05
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina 45.5% 116.48 shares
- England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Harry Kane: 2+ shots on target11.1% 388.11 shares
- England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina 46% 197.83 shares
- England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina 46% 732.61 shares
- England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina 46% 4,347.83 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?No 41% 580.93 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?No 41% 121.95 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?No 41% 292.68 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?No 40% 300.6 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?No 41% 348.78 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?No 41% 853.66 shares
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 6,666.66 shares