Yes position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $10.14
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$39.86
Polymarket Trader
paulwigan
0x34fb182de9838cc3597fcdbf637f8fb358546516
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $88.82
- Realized PnL
- $5.78
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $78.67
- Potential payout
- $100.22
- Potential profit
- $21.55
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $28.67
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.18
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.64
Up position
Solana Up or Down on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Multiplier
- 13.16x
- User PnL
- $4.94
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.7%
- Multiplier
- 2.05x
- User PnL
- $4.05
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$5.92
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.89
Yes position
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.94
Yes position
Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-02-15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 4.2% 1,193.35 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 80% 32 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 19% 108.69 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 76% 32 shares
- Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes 99.4% 45.45 shares
- Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-02-15?Yes 0.1% 446.82 shares
- Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-02-15?Yes 2.2% 446.82 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 23% 108.7 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes 19% 80.59 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?Yes 9% 77.94 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?Yes 13% 207.19 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes 18.6% 80.6 shares