Y
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $145
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $55
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$31
Polymarket Trader
nogambler
@Havoc243
0x35174f678228fe0453530cb8ab1a432c4d78dab5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $145
- Realized PnL
- $975.8
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $156.52
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $154.31
No position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $125.46
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 24?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.98
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.3
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 22?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.79
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.62
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.63
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.75
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.3
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.85
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.94
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.09
Yes position
Owlto FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.19
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.1
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.64
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.78
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.5
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.1
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.3
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.53
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.64
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?No 99.1% 8 shares
- Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?No 18.9% 50 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 4.5% 71.8 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria 80% 62.5 shares
- Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?Yes 0.1% 30.99 shares
- Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?Yes 1.3% 172.05 shares
- Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?Yes 0.4% 172.05 shares
- Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?Yes 0.1% 172.05 shares
- Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?Yes 0.6% 172.05 shares
- Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?Yes 0.6% 172.05 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?No 16.8% 99.99 shares