No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $2.07K
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $149.97
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $81.84
Polymarket Trader
0x351d4dD5B7A1037Bc84b5CA1433076778BC20EBE-1757350274398
0x351d4dd5b7a1037bc84b5ca1433076778bc20ebe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.24K
- Realized PnL
- $519.58
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.45K
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $3.63
- User PnL
- $58.71
No position
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $412.86
- Potential payout
- $443.93
- Potential profit
- $31.08
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $12.86
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $388.65
- Potential payout
- $424.76
- Potential profit
- $36.1
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $18.65
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $390.16
- Potential payout
- $392.91
- Potential profit
- $2.75
- User PnL
- $90.16
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $315.38
- Potential payout
- $368.86
- Potential profit
- $53.49
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $15.38
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $318.52
- Potential payout
- $333.53
- Potential profit
- $15.01
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $18.52
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $291.76
- Potential payout
- $292.49
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- User PnL
- $11.76
No position
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $253.7
- Potential payout
- $267.76
- Potential profit
- $14.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $222.27
- Potential payout
- $254.02
- Potential profit
- $31.75
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.27
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $235.64
- Potential payout
- $250.01
- Potential profit
- $14.38
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $15.64
No position
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $205.84
- Potential payout
- $220.74
- Potential profit
- $14.9
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $209.68
- Potential payout
- $210.21
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- User PnL
- $9.99
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $110.75
- Potential payout
- $196.05
- Potential profit
- $85.3
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $180.86
- Potential payout
- $192.3
- Potential profit
- $11.44
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $10.86
No position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $183.03
- Potential payout
- $191.05
- Potential profit
- $8.02
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $25.03
No position
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $139
- Potential payout
- $168.48
- Potential profit
- $29.48
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $146.41
- Potential payout
- $165.43
- Potential profit
- $19.03
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $21.41
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $121.98
- Potential payout
- $134.78
- Potential profit
- $12.8
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $26.68
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $117.26
- Potential payout
- $129.57
- Potential profit
- $12.31
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $7.26
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $123.48
- Potential payout
- $126.39
- Potential profit
- $2.91
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $43.48
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $122.03
- Potential payout
- $122.58
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- User PnL
- $7.03
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $116.5
- Potential payout
- $120.17
- Potential profit
- $3.67
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $112.08
- Potential payout
- $117.23
- Potential profit
- $5.16
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $12.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.7
Yes position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.33
No position
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.8
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.45
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.05
No position
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.62
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.34
No position
Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.88
No position
US civil war before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.79
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.63
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.38
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.01
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.43
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.1
No position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in October 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.43
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.27
No position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.76
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.65
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.36
No position
US announces withdrawal from WTO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.91
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.46
Yes position
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.25
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.2% 36 shares
- Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 82.6% 121.02 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 46% 10.87 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 22% 22.73 shares
- Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?No 60% 33.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 21.28 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 22.3% 44.83 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 24% 20.83 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 31.91 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 57% 1.75 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 39% 2.56 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No 88% 113.64 shares