Polymarket Trader

upup168

0x352030b3f3fa7a4c073d2381f9d5548a9e843e89

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $98
Realized PnL: $115.28
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $98
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $102
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $2

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.7
Potential profit: $104.7
User PnL: -$76.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.74

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.77

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.28

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.14

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.12

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.38

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 30?

Down 39% 35 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 22?

Up 29% 8.69 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 22?

Up 31% 5.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Down 79% 1.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Up 62% 1.61 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 4?

Down 1% 100 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 4?

Down 1% 99.67 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 95% 95 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Up 15% 6.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Up 52% 1.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Down 86% 2.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Up 95% 2.11 shares