Yes position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.55K
- Potential profit
- $2.55K
- User PnL
- -$785.56
Polymarket Trader
MABD
0x35243a004222b74a9e1b719145f62d33385fe34e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $971.49
- Realized PnL
- $4.15K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $119.05
- Potential payout
- $952.38
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$80.95
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $226.76
- Potential payout
- $381.11
- Potential profit
- $154.35
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $26.76
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $98.15
- Potential payout
- $370.37
- Potential profit
- $272.22
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.85
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $314.74
- Potential payout
- $343.98
- Potential profit
- $29.24
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $14.74
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $212.79
- Potential payout
- $232.56
- Potential profit
- $19.77
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $12.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $757.23
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.78
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 26?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.33
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 26, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.58
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.5
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.62
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.44
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $55.63
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.14
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $31.77
Yes position
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.33
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$25.94
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37.38
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$61.42
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$62.09
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$89.46
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$96.18
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$98.16
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?Yes 27% 370.37 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 12% 321.47 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 98.4% 337.07 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 99.1% 459.77 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Yes 23% 434.78 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 89% 337.08 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 21% 952.38 shares
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No 86% 232.56 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 87.2% 343.98 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 87% 459.77 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 52.5% 381.11 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 47% 527.47 shares