Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.91K
- Potential profit
- $208.91K
- User PnL
- $6.69
Polymarket Trader
Casdifer
@casdiferpredict
0x35417b3d09d7a0991f75d7cc95162a6e34d7462e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $406.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.89K
- Potential profit
- $208.89K
- User PnL
- $6.68
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.39K
- Potential profit
- $78.39K
- User PnL
- $5.1
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.58K
- Potential profit
- $31.58K
- User PnL
- -$31.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.06K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.64K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.44K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.25K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.05K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.07K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.05K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.5K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.97K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.26K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.85K
Yes position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.71K
Yes position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.18K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.76K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.64K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.56K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.06K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.24K
No position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.89K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.78K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.63K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.28K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.2K
No position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.08K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 70% 9,999.99 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 62% 70.31 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 97.4% 10 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 88.5% 643.47 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 78.3% 100 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 2.4% 400 shares
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 1.6% 236 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes 42% 5 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.5% 72.9 shares
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 96% 300 shares
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 84.9% 70.91 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 15.9% 49.12 shares