Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.53K
- Potential profit
- $5.53K
- User PnL
- -$699.99
Polymarket Trader
gh8jfgwre3fwsd
0x3544bd4363d7740567d52011079cce0d665493dc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $188.64
- Realized PnL
- $13.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.7K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $881.87
- Potential profit
- $881.87
- User PnL
- -$556.93
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $294.12
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $263.16
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $235.69
- Potential profit
- $235.69
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $10.15
- Potential payout
- $176.47
- Potential profit
- $166.32
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$19.85
Yes position
Will "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175.96
- Potential profit
- $175.96
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $138.89
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $131.17
- Potential payout
- $131.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $31.17
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $47.32
- Potential payout
- $126.2
- Potential profit
- $78.87
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$52.68
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.15
- Potential profit
- $96.15
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.26
- Potential profit
- $74.26
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.77
- Potential profit
- $30.77
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.12
- Potential profit
- $29.12
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$14
eStar Pro position
Honor of Kings: eStar Pro vs JD Gaming (BO5)
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.05
- Potential profit
- $21.05
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$16.49
Yes position
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4900 August 18–24?
Ends Aug 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.78K
Yes position
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $471.71
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.55
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.06
Yes position
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.03
Yes position
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.13
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.96
Yes position
Will The Pitt win Best Ensemble in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
$2k position
Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.92
Yes position
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.85
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.44
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.33
No position
Will Player 152 win Beast Games: Season 2?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.2
Yes position
Will a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.33
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.9
Yes position
Will The Studio win Best Ensemble in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.21
No position
Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.65
No position
Clavicular charged by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.29
No position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.96
No position
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
No position
Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
No position
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?Yes 91.1% 1,610.09 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 11.6% 1,724.14 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 11.5% 3,464.83 shares
- Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes 26.1% 470.32 shares
- Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 21.2% 235.69 shares
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 75% 433.15 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 29% 345.17 shares
- Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 0.8% 318.99 shares
- Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 13% 161.29 shares
- US strike on Colombia by March 31?Yes 3.2% 3,248.26 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?Yes 75% 133.33 shares
- Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No 68% 163.14 shares