Polymarket Trader

iridoyume

0x35459ccc0e1d0a40aa5c5c2e319d2245f0071a96

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.25K
Realized PnL: $419.04
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $6.02K
Potential payout: $7.39K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $59.79

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$24

No position

Trump releases Epstein list today?

Ends Feb 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $330.77
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $438.46
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $30.77

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $749.21
Potential payout: $753.73
Potential profit: $4.52
User PnL: $152.93

No position

Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $562.11
Potential payout: $562.96
Potential profit: $0.84
User PnL: $62.11

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $101.67
Potential payout: $383.65
Potential profit: $281.98
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$198.33

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $134.74
Potential payout: $349.99
Potential profit: $215.24
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $54.25

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $83.33
Potential payout: $196.08
Potential profit: $112.75
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$16.67

No position

Trump negative approval by Friday?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.74
Potential profit: $167.74
User PnL: -$3

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $101.69
Potential payout: $108.93
Potential profit: $7.24
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.69

Yes position

Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Blue wave in 2026?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $73
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $27
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.05
Potential profit: $45.05
User PnL: -$5

No position

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $42.04
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $1.43
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $32.04

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.88
Potential profit: $34.88
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

California voter ID referendum passes?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $15.61
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $14.7
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $5.61

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $22.63
Potential payout: $22.99
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.63

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $11.36
User PnL: -$10

No position

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $9.96
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.86

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309.68

Yes position

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79

Yes position

Epstein disclosure bill/resolution enacted in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.45

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.94

Yes position

Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

Yes position

Will Dogecoin reach $0.45 before December?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Crawford position

Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel

Ends Apr 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Republicans have between 220 and 224 seats in House after election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Republican position

House control after 2024 election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Republicans have between 215 and 219 seats in House after election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

No 39% 256.41 shares
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

No 39% 256.41 shares
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

No 39% 256.41 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 76% 65.79 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 80% 62.5 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 80% 62.5 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 79.9% 125.21 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 79.9% 125.23 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 79% 253.16 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 78% 49.34 shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 82% 121.95 shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 84% 10 shares