Polymarket Trader

Tonzie

0x354650849f540be65d169ee6657d8b361db3c697

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.67K
Realized PnL: $11.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $14.9K
Potential payout: $20.27K
Potential profit: $5.37K
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $5.65K

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $50.56
Potential payout: $7.78K
Potential profit: $7.73K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$19.44

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $395.83
Potential payout: $5.95K
Potential profit: $5.56K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$104.16

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $331.73
Potential payout: $5.77K
Potential profit: $5.44K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $31.74

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $990.15
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $990.15
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$9.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

70k position

Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $771.31

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $629.91

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $616.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $549.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $539.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $516.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $467.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $466.17

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $461.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $347.42

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $285.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.48

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.31

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.16

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.39

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.83

South Africa position

T20I Series New Zealand vs South Africa, Women: New Zealand vs South Africa

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.77

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 50.5% 1,980.29 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 7,777.78 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 5,769.23 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.4% 5,952.38 shares
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5

Under 46% 3.58 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Yes 99.9% 894.22 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Yes 91.7% 894.23 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

No 97% 854.67 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

No 78% 854.68 shares
Spread: Canada (-1.5)

Canada 25% 2,740.4 shares
Spread: Canada (-1.5)

Canada 27% 2,740.41 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Yes 47.7% 1,622.49 shares