Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $948.69
- Potential profit
- $948.69
- User PnL
- -$494.67
Polymarket Trader
elpredictooor
0x354aa0f6601e053e47a4000388f86e4fd3d18e81
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $214.85
- Realized PnL
- $690.6
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$52.9
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $57.88
- Potential payout
- $463.05
- Potential profit
- $405.17
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$52.92
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $384.3
- Potential profit
- $384.3
- User PnL
- -$10.79
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $381.13
- Potential profit
- $381.13
- User PnL
- -$12.47
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $364.64
- Potential profit
- $364.64
- User PnL
- -$24.1
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.6
- Potential profit
- $344.6
- User PnL
- -$16.95
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $286.14
- Potential profit
- $286.14
- User PnL
- -$121.64
Yes position
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160.99
- Potential profit
- $160.99
- User PnL
- -$22
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $159.52
- Potential profit
- $159.52
- User PnL
- -$34
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $155.66
- Potential profit
- $155.66
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $153.57
- Potential payout
- $153.57
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $115.79
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?
Ends Sep 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $146.71
- Potential profit
- $146.71
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $143.22
- Potential profit
- $143.22
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.33
- Potential profit
- $135.33
- User PnL
- -$3.67
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 4?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.57
- Potential profit
- $121.57
- User PnL
- -$74
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.26
- Potential profit
- $118.26
- User PnL
- -$47.44
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be less than $160 on August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.45
- Potential profit
- $102.45
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.79
- Potential profit
- $100.79
- User PnL
- -$30.1
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$34
Yes position
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.14
- Potential profit
- $92.14
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $3.4
- Potential payout
- $86
- Potential profit
- $82.6
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.79
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.34
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 4?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.02
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.88
No position
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.82
Yes position
Bitcoin above $115,000 on August 8?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.87
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.87
Yes position
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.2
Yes position
Will Trump say "Communist" this week?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.4
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.37
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.97
Yes position
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.58
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.2
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.59
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
Yes position
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 28?
Ends Jul 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Yes position
Xi Jinping seen in public by Friday?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86
No position
5kt meteor strike in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?
Ends Sep 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27
No position
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06
Yes position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.54
Yes position
Fed rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 28% 35.71 shares
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5% 60 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?No 6% 33.43 shares
- Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 2% 26 shares
- Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes 38% 10.53 shares
- Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes 38% 5.26 shares
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes 2.1% 49 shares
- Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes 2.5% 120 shares
- Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes 6.1% 16.39 shares
- Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes 11% 60 shares
- Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes 38% 30 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes 17% 10 shares