No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $137.79
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $60.35
Polymarket Trader
0x3556360A67Fe8Cbde9DE2ca04A4F6c71A4002277-1782106348141
0x3556360a67fe8cbde9de2ca04a4f6c71a4002277
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.02K
- Realized PnL
- $2.72K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $932.88
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $151.86
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$67.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $644.58
- Potential profit
- $644.58
- User PnL
- -$400
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $262.95
- Potential profit
- $262.95
- User PnL
- -$125
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250.01
- Potential profit
- $250.01
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $24.57
- Potential payout
- $196.58
- Potential profit
- $172.01
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$48.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $389.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $335.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $73.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETUp 47% 196.58 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETUp 30.8% 1,079.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETUp 26% 384.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETUp 43% 232.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETUp 39% 256.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETUp 48.6% 205.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETUp 93.6% 106.83 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETUp 82.4% 121.29 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETUp 76% 263.16 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETUp 76% 131.58 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETUp 60% 166.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETUp 58.6% 170.52 shares