Polymarket Trader

haraya

0x355f3b6a0e5b430a21b5067403c2f4507dbc0df8

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $9.37K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.04K
Potential profit: $7.04K
User PnL: -$3.4K

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $5.41K
Potential payout: $5.66K
Potential profit: $254.91
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.76K

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.3K
Potential profit: $4.3K
User PnL: -$3.38K

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $2.28K
User PnL: -$190

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27K
Potential profit: $2.27K
User PnL: -$75

No position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $90.11
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $107.77

No position

Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: -$230

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$74.76

Yes position

Will Ordinary by Alex Warren be the 3rd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.78
Potential payout: $944.62
Potential profit: $940.84
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$796.22

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $910.89
Potential profit: $910.89
User PnL: -$255

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $705
Potential profit: $705
User PnL: -$84.6

Yes position

Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $650
User PnL: -$578.5

Yes position

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $574.21
Potential profit: $574.21
User PnL: -$300

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $522.41
Potential payout: $522.41
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $22.41

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $508.47
Potential payout: $508.47
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $208.48

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $454.02
Potential payout: $470
Potential profit: $15.98
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $68.62

Yes position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $410.96
Potential profit: $410.96
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259
Potential profit: $259
User PnL: -$89.32

Yes position

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81.3%
Current value: $159.33
Potential payout: $196
Potential profit: $36.67
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$14.2

No position

Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $47.83
Potential payout: $195.23
Potential profit: $147.4
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$18.9

No position

Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $19.8
Potential payout: $165
Potential profit: $145.2
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$52.45

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio attend NATO Summit?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $140.52
Potential payout: $153.58
Potential profit: $13.05
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $9.52

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

No 59% 508.47 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

No 28% 910.89 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?

No 95.7% 522.41 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 7.6% 524.16 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 3.3% 2,265.23 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 8.5% 1,759.14 shares
Will Marco Rubio attend NATO Summit?

Yes 85.3% 153.58 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?

No 77.2% 69 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?

No 82% 65 shares
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 85.2% 352.11 shares
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 84.4% 592.51 shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 32.3% 1,256.69 shares