No position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
xiaohaio
0x3566eeee37204384ed5e0062459ec41dd8c310fe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.35
- Realized PnL
- $381.59
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ugo Humbert win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.9
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $105
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.77
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.29
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.57
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $70.86
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.06
- Potential profit
- $59.06
- User PnL
- -$12.14
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- -$4.88
Jil Teichmann position
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.55
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.35
No position
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.12
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.62
76ers position
76ers vs. Celtics
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.67
Mattia Bellucci position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Mattia Bellucci
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.09
HANJIN BRION Challengers position
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.35
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.07
magic position
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.97
Matteo Arnaldi position
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.56
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.1
9z position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.53
Legacy position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.3
No position
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-08?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.2
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $7.98
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.75
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.21
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.11
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.01
LGD Gaming position
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes 41% 1.05 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes 35% 5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes 35% 5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes 35% 10 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes 33% 20 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 3?Yes 10.8% 7.8 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 3?Yes 10.8% 7.8 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?Yes 12% 10 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?Yes 13.1% 10 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on June 30?Yes 14.5% 5 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on June 30?Yes 14.4% 5 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on June 30?Yes 13.3% 7.52 shares