Polymarket Trader

0x356ae846fBABf4C9406074A5D8956585403C4D34-1730048333460

0x356ae846fbabf4c9406074a5d8956585403c4d34

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $282.67
Realized PnL: $3.32K
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.58K
Potential profit: $4.58K
User PnL: -$82

No position

Iran strike on Israel by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.74K
User PnL: -$350

No position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $900
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$10

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $135
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $864.99
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$5

No position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $961.12
Potential profit: $961.12
User PnL: -$549.56

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $47.67
Potential payout: $843.77
Potential profit: $796.1
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $2.95

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800.33
Potential profit: $800.33
User PnL: -$428

No position

Major cyberattack on Iran in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $793.65
Potential profit: $793.65
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $248
Potential profit: $248
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Ends Aug 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $243.33
Potential profit: $243.33
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Ends Aug 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.22
Potential profit: $208.22
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $175
User PnL: -$78.58

No position

Bitcoin above $106,000 on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $172.41
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco GP pole?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $156.25
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $113.64
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will George Russell win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.43
Potential profit: $108.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Monaco GP pole?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.95
Potential profit: $78.95
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Alex Albon win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.04
Potential profit: $60.04
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Mar 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $728.78

No position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $695.69

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $447.88

No position

Will Kanye launch a coin in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $312.21

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.64

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.7

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $83000 and $85000 on Mar 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.57

No position

Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.9

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.79

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.83

No position

Will Elon say "Billion" 10+ times during Baier interview on Thursday?

Ends Mar 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.26

No position

FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.07

No position

Will Elon say "SpaceX" during Baier interview on Thursday?

Ends Mar 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.36

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

No position

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.86

No position

New Pope in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.64

No position

Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.04

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the Qatar Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.88

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,200 on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80000 and $82000 on Mar 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $84000 on Mar 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 44.9% 175 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 76.5% 250 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 39% 250 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.3% 843.77 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 6% 750 shares
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

No 11% 878.66 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 14% 999.99 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 99.9% 300 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 34% 200 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 34% 100 shares
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?

Yes 44% 113.64 shares
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Yes 0.2% 3,639.78 shares