Yes position
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $16.23
- Potential payout
- $4.64K
- Potential profit
- $4.62K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.32
Polymarket Trader
0x356ca9cBba6a892917f13906455Cc0290eeA80b7-1759261399831
0x356ca9cbba6a892917f13906455cc0290eea80b7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.93K
- Realized PnL
- $3.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $2.84K
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $561
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$108.99
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$104
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $50.09
- Potential payout
- $120.84
- Potential profit
- $70.75
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $30.09
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $28.49
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $71.51
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$4.51
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 2 ET?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.41
- Potential profit
- $59.41
- User PnL
- -$9.65
Yes position
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.22
- Potential profit
- $49.22
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $37.04
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.4
- Potential profit
- $8.4
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.76
- Potential profit
- $6.76
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.97
- Potential profit
- $5.97
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $802.38
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $443.48
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.9
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.93
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.28
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.74
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $118.81
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.4
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.2
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.06
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.28
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.09
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.92
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.96
No position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.82
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $4.19
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $3.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 6?
Ends Oct 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Yes 33% 100 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 89% 1,000 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 96.8% 2,056.9 shares
- Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.4% 4,637.14 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 10.1% 200 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 14% 200 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 99.9% 100 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 15% 99.99 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 29.8% 100 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes 13.1% 300 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 13?No 94% 402.6 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 12?No 96.2% 970 shares