Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.1%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $5.82
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.07
Polymarket Trader
0x3576...c3f8
0x35764e7e9bc5e287055ee98604cf1d3fdc71c3f8
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $23.12
- Realized PnL
- $19.97
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $5.11
- Potential profit
- $4.22
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $3.66
- Potential payout
- $5.09
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 78.6%
- Current value
- $3.61
- Potential payout
- $4.59
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $3.04
- Potential payout
- $3.69
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $3.56
- Potential profit
- $2.83
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $2.37
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $1.83
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $1.43
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.8%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.05
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.66x
- User PnL
- $10.51
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.9%
- Multiplier
- 2.64x
- User PnL
- $4.11
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.3%
- Multiplier
- 10.81x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.7%
- Multiplier
- 2.10x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 9 above $5.50?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 48% 5.09 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 46% 5.59 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 38% 5.59 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 38% 5.03 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 52% 5.31 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 56% 5.38 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 57% 5.62 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 48% 7.45 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 65.7% 6.19 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 65.7% 5.13 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 65.7% 6.61 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 65.7% 5.59 shares