Polymarket Trader

0x357984138140b60Deeb0f16941F605fF706E6292-1775584493617

0x357984138140b60deeb0f16941f605ff706e6292

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $225.73
Realized PnL: $904.92
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.36K
User PnL: -$2.53

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $768.83
Potential profit: $768.83
User PnL: -$356.18

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.57
Potential profit: $84.57
User PnL: -$80

No position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $67.51
Potential payout: $69.99
Potential profit: $2.48
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $54.75
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $48.43
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $1.58
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.42

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $38.01
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $3.99
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $39.94
Potential payout: $41.03
Potential profit: $1.09
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $19.96
Potential payout: $22.3
Potential profit: $2.34
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$9.1

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $7.88
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $1.13
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $2.34
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $1.16
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1.05
Potential profit: $0.04
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $397.53

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.22

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.02

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.65

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.29

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.9

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.29

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.56

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.34

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.89

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.21

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.45

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.64

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.55

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.93

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.49

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.27

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.02

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.73

No position

Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.64

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 85.5% 10 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Yes 1.8% 55.56 shares
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?

No 95% 50 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 86% 20 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 99.3% 48.34 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 87% 2.3 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?

No 88% 9 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 96% 29.99 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

No 95% 10 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 96% 1.04 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

No 83% 20 shares
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?

No 94% 19.99 shares