Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.4%
- Current value
- $38.35
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $61.64
- Multiplier
- 2.61x
- User PnL
- $1.91
Polymarket Trader
martinzzz
0x35813c34af47a45c923c2c46638c45fbb9779f2d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.35
- Realized PnL
- -$0.84
- Win rate
- 23.1%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Norway position
Spread: Norway (-2.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 83.2% 5.95 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 84.1% 5.96 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes 49% 7.8 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes 50% 7.8 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.6% 29.1 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.7% 29.1 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes 51% 9.03 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes 54% 9.04 shares
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Norway 37% 5.86 shares
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Norway 38% 5.87 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes 30% 5.9 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes 53% 5.91 shares