Polymarket Trader

Linslav

0x3594526e2a0aaf467038ee1799d6ded344aedc58

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.4K
Realized PnL: $16.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.78K
Potential profit: $14.78K
User PnL: -$3.6K

No position

Israel military action on Yemen before June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.56K
Potential profit: $8.56K
User PnL: -$1.61K

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.14K
Potential profit: $5.14K
User PnL: -$219.99

No position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$20

No position

Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.97K
Potential profit: $4.97K
User PnL: -$670.99

No position

Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$400

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $723.36
Potential payout: $3.15K
Potential profit: $2.42K
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $123.36

No position

Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.23K
Potential profit: $2.23K
User PnL: -$500

No position

Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.08K
User PnL: -$210

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $1.52K
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $534.21
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $520.45

No position

Grok 4.20 released by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $2.04K
User PnL: -$343.55

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $1.95K
User PnL: -$300

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$73

Yes position

Will 'Kingdom Come: Deliverance II' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.49K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will 'Dispatch' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$30

No position

TrumpRX launched by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$240

Yes position

Will 'Arc Raiders' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$111

No position

Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$500

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $155.75
Potential payout: $973.42
Potential profit: $817.67
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$44.25

No position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $832.48
Potential profit: $832.48
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $780.75
Potential profit: $780.75
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.48
Potential profit: $296.48
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.94
Potential profit: $214.94
User PnL: -$99.92

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.83K

No position

Will Trump say "Coal" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

No position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

No position

Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

No position

Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $968.34

Yes position

Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $819.41

No position

Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $747.02

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $717.01

No position

Will Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $607.09

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $578.24

No position

Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $529.36

No position

Grok 4.20 released by January 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $524.75

No position

Trump Travel Ban Before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $494.67

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $419.34

No position

Will Trump say "Trump" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345.93

Yes position

GPT-5.4 released by March 5?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.87

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313.08

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304.97

No position

Will F1® 25 win VR Game of the Year at the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.57

Yes position

GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.45

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.64

No position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.99

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?

No 0.3% 241.7 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?

Yes 17.8% 264.29 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?

Yes 18.9% 264.29 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

No 19.2% 522.11 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 78% 200 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

No 19% 526.23 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

No 18% 1,113.85 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 78% 400 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 79% 200 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

No 20.3% 982.84 shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

No 5.3% 1,663.84 shares
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?

No 87.9% 282.22 shares