No position
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $90.58
- Potential payout
- $91.17
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- User PnL
- $0.58
Polymarket Trader
Fallon
@FallonGall48997
0x35a74ee18afdfbec19fd5db9305fc95c289744f4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $575.17
- Realized PnL
- $27.27
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $53.36
- Potential payout
- $56.05
- Potential profit
- $2.69
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.64
No position
Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $49.9
- Potential payout
- $51.04
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $46.03
- Potential payout
- $47.04
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $32.44
- Potential payout
- $34.04
- Potential profit
- $1.6
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $32.16
- Potential payout
- $33.03
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $22.66
- Potential payout
- $23.05
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Les Wexner charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $21.06
- Potential payout
- $21.93
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $20.83
- Potential payout
- $21.13
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $20.83
- Potential payout
- $21.12
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Y
Yes position
Will "Deagle" be said 5+ times during the IEM Cologne 2026 Grand Finals?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $19.68
- Potential payout
- $21.05
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $19.05
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.05
N
No position
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by more than 15%?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $18.07
- Potential payout
- $18.09
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $15.73
- Potential payout
- $18.09
- Potential profit
- $2.35
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$1.27
Y
Yes position
Will "Five Seven" be said during the IEM Cologne 2026 Grand Finals?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $13.29
- Potential payout
- $18.09
- Potential profit
- $4.79
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$3.71
No position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $16.36
- Potential payout
- $18.08
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
No position
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $14.71
- Potential payout
- $16.08
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Will either Tate brother be arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $14.77
- Potential payout
- $16.05
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Evo Morales arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $11.3
- Potential payout
- $14.13
- Potential profit
- $2.83
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
N
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $11.93
- Potential payout
- $13.04
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $12.13
- Potential payout
- $13.04
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $11.87
- Potential payout
- $13.04
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
N
No position
Will Trump say "Transgender" during G7 events?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.04
- Potential profit
- $13.04
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will NIKE Q4 Greater China revenue be above $1.0B?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $6.42
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $4.94
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$3.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will "Croatia" be in the headlines this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Will Jenni Gibbons be chosen for the Artemis III mission?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Will Jessica Watkins be chosen for the Artemis III mission?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will Takuya Onishi be chosen for the Artemis III mission?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Will Oracle Q4 Remaining Performance Obligations be above $1.0T?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.75 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will PPI YoY be at least 8.0% in May?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Reform" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 47.0 and 47.9 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will "Stupid" be in the headlines this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
James Comey mugshot released by May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumacrat" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will James Comey leave the country by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will "Amsterdam" be in the headlines this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
N
No position
Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Comey posts a video message on substack again by Friday?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Critical Discord Incident by June 30?No 90% 11.11 shares
- Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 98.1% 56.05 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95% 20 shares
- US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?No 88% 9.09 shares
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by June 30?No 85% 7.06 shares
- Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?No 98.7% 91.17 shares
- AWS service disrupted by June 30?No 89% 10.11 shares
- Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?No 92% 13.04 shares
- Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?No 98% 51.04 shares
- Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by more than 10%?No 90% 11.11 shares
- Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?No 96.9% 33.03 shares
- Will "Five Seven" be said during the IEM Cologne 2026 Grand Finals?Yes 94% 18.09 shares