No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $93.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $6.35
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Polymarket Trader
549
0x35a8660b7e74da0eb5e968a925e183add2c22bf6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $389.7
- Realized PnL
- $90.65
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $69.96
- Potential payout
- $74.78
- Potential profit
- $4.82
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $59.91
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $11.19
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $43.81
- Multiplier
- 4.92x
- User PnL
- -$16.31
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.7%
- Current value
- $43.81
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $11.19
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $16.31
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $47.04
- Potential payout
- $47.18
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $28.05
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $19.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $11.61
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
US defaults on debt by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $5.39
- Potential payout
- $5.55
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.84
No position
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.42
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
No position
Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37
No position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Base airdrop in Q1 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Will Michelle Obama become Dem Nominee?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
X allowed to operate in China before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will SBF launch a coin by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Ethereum all time high in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Coinbase acquire Circle before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Linea airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Diddy flee the US before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.3% 100 shares
- Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 98.7% 60 shares
- Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?No 91.3% 30 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?No 99.7% 11 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?No 93% 20 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 93.6% 50 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No 75% 15 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 96.3% 11 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 89.8% 11.55 shares
- US defaults on debt by 2027?No 96.5% 5.55 shares
- Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 68.2% 5 shares
- Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes 99.8% 5.55 shares