Polymarket Trader

MisTKy

@MiSTkyGo

0x35bbbad2415fe5e39b12da9a316cdc80b022009b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $221.34K
Realized PnL: $184.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $72.89K
Potential payout: $73K
Potential profit: $109.5
User PnL: $693.57

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $32.93K
Potential payout: $34.39K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $107.3

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $30.88K
Potential payout: $31.08K
Potential profit: $202.04
User PnL: $759.69

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.76K
Potential profit: $17.76K
User PnL: -$9.13K

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $13.12K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $1.87K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $75

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.49K
Potential profit: $11.49K
User PnL: -$666.59

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.25K
Potential profit: $11.25K
User PnL: -$4.53K

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $9.44K
Potential payout: $9.52K
Potential profit: $80.92
User PnL: $548.1

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $8.92K
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $81
User PnL: $148.88

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $8.51K
Potential profit: $8.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$352.04

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $7.19K
Potential payout: $7.52K
Potential profit: $331.09
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $167.69

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $7.3K
Potential payout: $7.38K
Potential profit: $84.91
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $513.57

No position

Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $6.18K
Potential payout: $6.34K
Potential profit: $161.72
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $678.78

No position

Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $5.36K
Potential payout: $5.7K
Potential profit: $341.98
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$97.48

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $5.31K
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $189.75
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $382.76

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $5.16K
Potential payout: $5.22K
Potential profit: $57.4
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $86.56

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: $7.5

No position

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $4.18K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $825
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $425

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $6.45
Potential payout: $4.3K
Potential profit: $4.29K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$64.11

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $3.06K
Potential payout: $3.07K
Potential profit: $18.45
User PnL: $28.48

No position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.99K
Potential profit: $2.99K
User PnL: -$1.32K

No position

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $2.04K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $462.75
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$62.75

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $2.38K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $122.5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$27.5

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.22K
User PnL: -$530.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.56K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.89K

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.88K

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.45K

Yes position

Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.32K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.99K

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.95K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.66K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.01K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.79K

No position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.44K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.29K

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.87K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.44K

No position

Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.04K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.93K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.84K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.69K

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.63K

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.3K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.12K

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 53% 1,251.68 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

Yes 98.9% 9,493.9 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 57% 2,153.74 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 57% 1,592.86 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 61% 5 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 57% 12,494.42 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

Yes 97.8% 758.87 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

Yes 96.4% 6,759.59 shares
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No 92.7% 1,245.33 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 0.4% 24,608.53 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 0.4% 29,080 shares
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Yes 78.6% 669 shares