Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.63
- Potential profit
- $82.63
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
moody1899
0x35c6ea0aba21344436c4489027233498128c0b28
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.3
- Realized PnL
- $71.79
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $4.02
- Potential payout
- $53.57
- Potential profit
- $49.55
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$10.98
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $27.67
- Potential payout
- $51.72
- Potential profit
- $24.05
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $12.67
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $9.02
- Potential payout
- $34.02
- Potential profit
- $25.01
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $4.01
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $8.59
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $22.66
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.24
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.54
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.09
No position
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.05
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $15.15
Yes position
Will NFT #1082 win the Based trading competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.64
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.62
MOUZ position
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will Stranger Things: Season 5 have more than 75 million views the week of the finale?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.82
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.99
Yes position
Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will NFT #2678 win the Based trading competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.33
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.75
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.48
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.54
Yes position
Will NFT #1946 win the Based trading competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes 32% 31.25 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?No 14.7% 68.03 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 29% 51.72 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 28% 53.57 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 93% 27.2 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 48% 42.55 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 71.6% 39.88 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 43% 34.88 shares
- Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 97.7% 58.57 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 50% 39.88 shares
- Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 70% 28.57 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 99% 45.45 shares