Polymarket Trader

Erebusxt

0x35cc07ac8051797abb1811cf80ac51b7f5ad58b7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.3
Realized PnL: $833.31
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $6.18
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $88.83
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $5.63
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $69.38
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $49.98
Potential profit: $45.49
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$0.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.52
Potential profit: $29.52
User PnL: -$14.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $29
User PnL: -$14.21

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.97
Potential profit: $28.97
User PnL: -$12.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5AM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.75
Potential profit: $28.75
User PnL: -$13.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.75
Potential profit: $28.75
User PnL: -$14.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.75
Potential profit: $28.75
User PnL: -$10.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.5
Potential profit: $28.5
User PnL: -$11.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.33
Potential profit: $28.33
User PnL: -$12.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.26
Potential profit: $28.26
User PnL: -$6.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.02
Potential profit: $28.02
User PnL: -$14.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.75
Potential profit: $27.75
User PnL: -$13.32

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 3PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.69
Potential profit: $27.69
User PnL: -$12.74

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.5
Potential profit: $27.5
User PnL: -$10.18

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.5
Potential profit: $27.5
User PnL: -$12.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.5
Potential profit: $27.5
User PnL: -$12.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.37
Potential profit: $27.37
User PnL: -$11.77

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $27
User PnL: -$14.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $27
User PnL: -$7.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.79
Potential profit: $26.79
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.53
Potential profit: $26.53
User PnL: -$13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.53
Potential profit: $26.53
User PnL: -$13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?

Yes 28% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Down 40% 16.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Up 60% 5.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Down 30% 16.3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Up 60.5% 5.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Down 48% 16.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Up 9% 5.49 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Down 40% 16.3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Up 57% 5.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Down 49% 6.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Up 33% 16.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Down 67% 5.5 shares