Polymarket Trader

0x35CD857524f8c2Ca357F36FAf044DB2a0894b8e2-1723456990906

0x35cd857524f8c2ca357f36faf044db2a0894b8e2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $780.26
Realized PnL: $898.1
Win rate: 16.7%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the next Government of Australia be a Liberal–National minority?

Ends May 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$1.2

Down position

Solana Up or Down - July 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $697.61
Potential payout: $697.61
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $348.81

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 5AM ET

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $469
Potential profit: $469
User PnL: -$238.83

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $378.93
Potential profit: $378.93
User PnL: -$240.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.21
Potential profit: $256.21
User PnL: -$128.11

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $244.14
Potential profit: $244.14
User PnL: -$122.07

Up position

Solana Up or Down - January 16, 10PM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $228.78
Potential profit: $228.78
User PnL: -$116.68

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.46
Potential profit: $201.46
User PnL: -$102.99

Down position

Solana Up or Down - October 22, 7AM ET

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $179.57
Potential profit: $179.57
User PnL: -$91.58

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $82.65
Potential payout: $143.74
Potential profit: $61.09
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$16.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.6
Potential profit: $140.6
User PnL: -$70.3

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 8AM ET

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.71
Potential profit: $129.71
User PnL: -$66.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.37
Potential profit: $98.37
User PnL: -$49.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10AM ET

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $509.08

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 5AM ET

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.34

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 5AM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.22

No position

Will stablecoins hit $400B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will stablecoins hit $400B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Brad Lander win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the percentage of inactive ballots in the NYC Democratic Mayoral Primary be 4% or less?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Maryland Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will a Republican win Wyoming Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.39

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.48

No position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Fed rate cut by November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.59

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.59

No position

Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Hawaii US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.9

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.34

No position

Will FTX payouts start in Q3 2024?

Ends Sep 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.58

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $93000 on Mar 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Solana Up or Down - July 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Up 49% 57 shares
Solana Up or Down - July 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Up 51.4% 57 shares
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Down 50% 244.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Up 50% 246.64 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Down 63.5% 368.7 shares
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?

Yes 33.2% 743.08 shares
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?

Yes 90% 743.08 shares
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?

No 10.4% 1,159.15 shares
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Up 50% 225.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Up 50% 140.6 shares
Solana Up or Down - January 16, 10PM ET

Up 51% 228.78 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 5AM ET

Up 51% 421.1 shares