0x35d701509Be826cAc33FAc182d29aB93Aa300917-1782269609497

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.99
Potential profit: $55.99
User PnL: -$25.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $40.25
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$34

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $49.22
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $0.77
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $4.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $1.51
Potential payout: $45.13
Potential profit: $43.62
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$10.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $6.54
Potential payout: $45.1
Potential profit: $38.56
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$4.74

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $27.2
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $6.8
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$13.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$13.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$13.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $19.97
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$8

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $15.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $4.9
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $19.97
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $1.72

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $13.19
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $6.81
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $2.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

Yes position

Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?