Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.39K
- Potential payout
- $3.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- User PnL
- $1.7
Polymarket Trader
0x35e36FaA4cf1488D120580302Ed1d149bE749188-1775509899044
0x35e36faa4cf1488d120580302ed1d149be749188
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.71K
- Realized PnL
- $16.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3.16
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$140.36
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$139.68
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $694.9
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $305.1
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $44.9
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $58.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $941.5
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 8-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $952.12
- Potential profit
- $952.12
- User PnL
- -$16.76
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $448.59
- Potential payout
- $944.39
- Potential profit
- $495.81
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $30.86
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $894.59
- Potential payout
- $936.74
- Potential profit
- $42.15
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $29.76
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700.61
- Potential profit
- $700.61
- User PnL
- -$0.7
No position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $688.67
- Potential profit
- $688.67
- User PnL
- -$89.53
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $662.36
- Potential profit
- $662.36
- User PnL
- -$18.54
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $605.53
- Potential payout
- $661.78
- Potential profit
- $56.25
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $77.55
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $641.37
- Potential profit
- $641.37
- User PnL
- -$64.14
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $599.76
- Potential profit
- $599.76
- User PnL
- -$225.89
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $569.19
- Potential profit
- $569.19
- User PnL
- -$30.84
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $80.04
- Potential payout
- $552.02
- Potential profit
- $471.98
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$32.62
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $7.48
- Potential payout
- $515.88
- Potential profit
- $508.4
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$37.23
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $496.29
- Potential payout
- $500.04
- Potential profit
- $3.75
- User PnL
- $42.35
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $497.25
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$9.75
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $497.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $2.75
- User PnL
- $12.75
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$19.18
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $457.43
- Potential payout
- $499.92
- Potential profit
- $42.49
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $22.5
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $75.11
- Potential payout
- $467.95
- Potential profit
- $392.85
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $465.52
- Potential profit
- $465.52
- User PnL
- -$55.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $3.34K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $972.79
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $958.6
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $676.99
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $647.39
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $567.67
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $544.57
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $528.55
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $477.54
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $427.54
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400.54
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $341.61
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.86
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320.54
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.11
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $271.66
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.87
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.74
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.52
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.54
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Yes 6% 8.66 shares
- Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31?Yes 1.7% 6.95 shares
- Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Yes 6% 17.32 shares
- Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31?Yes 1.6% 13.9 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 40% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 46.2% 139.99 shares
- Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31?Yes 1.6% 27.82 shares
- Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Yes 6% 34.64 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 73% 145.82 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 40% 60 shares
- Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31?Yes 1.8% 55.64 shares
- Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Yes 6% 69.29 shares