Polymarket Trader

adlo

0x35e61dff56ccc1f0a98f895c4e49c787138b22a1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $993.6
Realized PnL: -$157.64
Win rate: 43.8%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55K
Potential profit: $55K
User PnL: -$880

Yes position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.7K
Potential profit: $16.7K
User PnL: -$854.82

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $8.33K
Potential profit: $8.32K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$37.49

Yes position

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.23
Potential payout: $6.47K
Potential profit: $6.47K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$247.62

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $635.16
Potential payout: $4.59K
Potential profit: $3.95K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $477.07

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.48K
Potential profit: $2.48K
User PnL: -$74.71

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$111

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
User PnL: -$24.5

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $126.63
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $974.52
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$29.33

Yes position

Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$190

Yes position

Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $929.17
Potential profit: $929.17
User PnL: -$136.26

Yes position

Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $896
Potential profit: $896
User PnL: -$24.47

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $37.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $462.5
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$64.47

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $178.57
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $78.57

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$12.8

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.74

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.57

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.67

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47

No position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.28

No position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.08

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.3%
Multiplier: 5.19x
User PnL: $3.45

Yes position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$13.44

ETH position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.38

Yes position

Wormhole airdrop in March?

Ends Mar 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Wormhole airdrop in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will "The Zone of Interest" win the Oscar for Best Picture?

Ends Mar 9, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$156.53

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$163.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 8,333.33 shares
Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Yes 4.2% 4,841.1 shares
Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Yes 4.1% 32 shares
Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Yes 4.1% 403.47 shares
Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Yes 2.5% 1,084.94 shares
Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Yes 2.4% 106.75 shares
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Yes 5% 1,000 shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 12% 500 shares
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

ETH 35.1% 226.7 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 5.7% 89.3 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 5.3% 1,000 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 30% 344.82 shares