Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $3.47K
- Potential payout
- $40.77K
- Potential profit
- $37.3K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$5.63K
Polymarket Trader
Bradking
0x35fe6793c59182007e8876057aa9648631868509
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.52K
- Realized PnL
- $1.86K
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.66K
- Potential profit
- $28.66K
- User PnL
- -$5.2K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.37K
- Potential profit
- $12.37K
- User PnL
- -$5K
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $384.69
- Potential payout
- $9.27K
- Potential profit
- $8.88K
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$615.3
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $270.45
- Potential payout
- $8.45K
- Potential profit
- $8.18K
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- -$729.55
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $399.59
- Potential payout
- $7.27K
- Potential profit
- $6.87K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$700.41
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.88K
- Potential profit
- $2.88K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $228.15
- Potential profit
- $228.15
- User PnL
- -$95.82
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $128.19
- Potential profit
- $127.93
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$44.23
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.98
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.91
Yes position
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C or higher on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$31.85
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$48.04
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 23% 8,695.65 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No 99.9% 24.92 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 22.2% 22,479.85 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 15.1% 6,640.19 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes 10.8% 9,269.65 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 11.8% 8,451.57 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Yes 25% 400 shares
- Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?Yes 34.7% 128.19 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?Yes 42% 218.21 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 16% 625 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No 40.1% 24.92 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 20% 500 shares