Polymarket Trader

BidouPilou

0x3604db74ddef879d3cb6caa39eaf20fe9ab3bd45

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $144.35
Realized PnL: $2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$30

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $2.8K
User PnL: -$384

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$10.8

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$198

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $699.99
Potential profit: $699.99
User PnL: -$140

Flavio Cobolli position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $92.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $407.25
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$139

Yes position

Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $394.74
Potential profit: $394.74
User PnL: -$30

Pistons position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $363.64
Potential profit: $363.64
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$130.2

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$188.99

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.08
Potential profit: $204.08
User PnL: -$100

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $200.01
User PnL: -$35.31

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $200.01
User PnL: -$52

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $13.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $186.5
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$5.3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.1%
Current value: $38.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $161.9
Multiplier: 5.25x
User PnL: -$0.7

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$40

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.1%
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $658.56

Yes position

Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $282.64

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $88.5

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.2

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.4

Yes position

FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.8

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.86

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $50.09

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50

No position

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $48.36

Spurs position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.53

Down position

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Up position

Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

No position

Will the US loose jobs in September?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.92

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.78

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.48

No position

ECB rate cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Multiplier: 4.56x
User PnL: $28

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $19.5

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.4% 200 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.4% 200 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 18.9% 500 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 5,000 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 49% 204.08 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Flavio Cobolli 15% 666.67 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 20.3% 499.99 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?

Yes 32% 35.14 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Yes 9% 707.74 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 0.1% 811.41 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 18% 555.56 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 38% 526.32 shares