No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $144.28
- Potential payout
- $150.06
- Potential profit
- $5.78
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Polymarket Trader
lioap
0x360aa7521024133d5ede707d660acdfb6f9589fa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $182.37
- Realized PnL
- $332.56
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $38.08
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.04
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.29
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.8
No position
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.7
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.34
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.53
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.15
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.78
No position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.4
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.66
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.07
No position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.97
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.55
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.38
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.26
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.76
No position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.77
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $4.94
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.7% 760.7 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 96.3% 150.06 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 97.1% 20 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 97% 19 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 99.2% 262 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 98.8% 150 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 10?No 98.7% 149.79 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 1,040 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94% 6 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.5% 1,100 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No 98.5% 814.82 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 97.9% 149 shares