Polymarket Trader

0x3613...59c6

0x3613cfe3da4735c6ac88427011de3349f68b59c6

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $347.51
Realized PnL: -$11.97
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $7.45
Potential payout: $100.02
Potential profit: $92.57
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: -$20.85

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $77.74
Potential payout: $83.63
Potential profit: $5.9
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $19.71

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.4%
Current value: $60.89
Potential payout: $72.15
Potential profit: $11.26
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $45.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $4.75
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $4.25

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $22.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $27.25
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$16.25

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 70.9%
Current value: $35.43
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $14.58
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$8.78

Yes position

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $21.12
Potential payout: $35.8
Potential profit: $14.68
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $3.89

Yes position

Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.75
Potential profit: $35.75
User PnL: -$25.13

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $23.02
Potential payout: $32.88
Potential profit: $9.86
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $11.53
Potential payout: $24.81
Potential profit: $13.27
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $6.57

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.9%
Current value: $11.58
Potential payout: $15.9
Potential profit: $4.32
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $13.12
Potential payout: $13.17
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $12.53
Potential payout: $12.55
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $2.66

Rune Eaters position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $9.04
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $7.06
Potential profit: $6.28
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-07-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$0.7

Los Angeles Sparks position

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $5.64
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will SP La Fiorita win on 2026-07-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk end in a draw?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $6.24
Potential profit: $5.27
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $4.45
Potential profit: $4.36
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $2.89
Potential profit: $2.1
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.8%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $2.61
Potential profit: $2.22
Multiplier: 6.76x
User PnL: -$1.58

Yes position

Will OFK Petrovac win on 2026-07-16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $1.1
Potential profit: $1.01
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Leticia Romanova position

ITF Nottingham: Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi vs Leticia Romanova

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Lorenzo Angelini position

Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.69

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $2.29

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $1.82

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $1.58

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 73.5%
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $0.1

Ekaterina Yashina position

Athens Open, Qualification: Mina Hodzic vs Ekaterina Yashina

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.31

Carla Markus position

ITF Darmstadt: Tena Lukas vs Carla Markus

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 37%
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$0.68

Voca position

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO3) - BLAST Open North American Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$0.99

Patrick Zahraj position

Swiss Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Hungary position

T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B: Denmark vs Hungary

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Hendrik Jebens position

Swiss Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Hendrik Jebens

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Elisha Ellison position

UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

The Huns Esports position

Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Tegan Bush position

ITF Nottingham: Alicia Dudeney vs Tegan Bush

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.27

Toronto Tempo position

Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.29

No position

Will "Disruptive" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$10.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo

Toronto Tempo 31% 6 shares