Polymarket Trader

Shon4ik

0x3619e2a088dea7dc5cc29ef4e51650f8edd6731b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $53.29
Realized PnL: $356.72
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $53.29
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 20.41x
User PnL: $36.98

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $254.8
Potential profit: $254.8
User PnL: -$104.47

Yes position

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.64
Potential profit: $108.64
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.07
Potential profit: $24.07
User PnL: -$13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.9

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.42

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.11

Alexander Zverev position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.82

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.77

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $8.31

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.21

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.09

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.68

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.93

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.84

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.48

Ducks position

Oilers vs. Ducks

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.33

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

No 1.5% 500 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 41% 254.8 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 54% 24.07 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 19% 25 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.9% 52.41 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 0.6% 333.33 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.9% 12.29 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 2.4% 290 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

No 63% 10.61 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 17.65 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 47.06 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

No 65% 23.08 shares