Yes position
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $195.36
- Potential payout
- $9.3K
- Potential profit
- $9.11K
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- $92.46
Polymarket Trader
lucasnavarro
0x36267a96c986224b39756f244b6597436f6aeed6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $270.67
- Realized PnL
- -$26.73
- Win rate
- 22.2%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $20.79
- Potential payout
- $90.58
- Potential profit
- $69.79
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $54.51
- Potential payout
- $54.51
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $35.43
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.89
- Potential profit
- $22.89
- User PnL
- -$19.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.5
Yes position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
Yes position
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.28
No position
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say Surrender during his Iran address on June 21?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say Uranium during his Iran address on June 21?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 35% 54.51 shares
- Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 4.1% 427.23 shares
- Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 0.8% 5,880.63 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 32.2% 31.06 shares
- Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 0.7% 1,428.57 shares
- Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.2% 833.33 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 16.8% 59.52 shares
- Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 2.5% 733.31 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on July 1?Yes 84% 22.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on June 22?Up 0.1% 11,720 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 28.5% 41.17 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 34% 41.18 shares