lenul

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $42.51
Potential payout: $745.86
Potential profit: $703.35
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: $32.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $30.7
Potential payout: $409.33
Potential profit: $378.63
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $385.74
Potential profit: $383.81
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$77.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375.45
Potential profit: $375.45
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $99.64
Potential payout: $337.77
Potential profit: $238.13
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $26.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.28
Potential payout: $326.33
Potential profit: $324.04
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$2.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $316.55
Potential profit: $316.55
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $16.19
Potential payout: $252.91
Potential profit: $236.72
Multiplier: 15.63x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $178.57
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.36
Potential profit: $136.36
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $3.26
Potential payout: $133.18
Potential profit: $129.91
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$1.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.68
Potential profit: $116.68
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.06
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$29.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $13.43
Potential payout: $99.51
Potential profit: $86.07
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $78.67
Potential profit: $77.64
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$10.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.98
Potential profit: $77.98
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $70.55
Potential profit: $70.52
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $3.32
Potential payout: $66.44
Potential profit: $63.12
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$11.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $15.4
Potential payout: $54.04
Potential profit: $38.64
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$6.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $45.57
Potential payout: $51.79
Potential profit: $6.21
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $31.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $18.96
Potential payout: $45.14
Potential profit: $26.18
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $41.86
Potential profit: $41.77
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$4.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $244.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $186.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.55

Up position

BNB Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.23

Up position

Solana Up or Down - November 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.51

Yes position

Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.71

Up position

BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.08

Up position

BNB Up or Down - June 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.24

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.62

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 18?