Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Polymarket Trader
BasedTopo
0x3630193930d1b58674842595feadaf1377dccfba
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$17.99
- Win rate
- 46.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 9?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 1PM ET
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 9?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 1PM ET
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 10AM ET
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.17
Yes position
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.36
Yes position
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 0.7% 32.25 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 3.1% 32.26 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 82% 10 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Yes 0.8% 55 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Yes 1.8% 55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETDown 42% 2.35 shares
- Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?Yes 65% 14.74 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 10AM ETDown 2% 50 shares
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No 0.2% 4,166.66 shares
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No 0.3% 3,000 shares
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No 0.3% 500 shares
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No 0.3% 666.67 shares