Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.2%
- Current value
- $10.89
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $108.15
- Multiplier
- 10.93x
- User PnL
- $0.89
Polymarket Trader
VCBTRH
0x36353a974b539ae9bf3ce60f4ea6a633b41cd3de
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $69.15
- Realized PnL
- $79.13
- Win rate
- 85%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.44
- Potential profit
- $44.44
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.38
- Potential profit
- $32.38
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Yes position
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $22.22
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $20.97
- Potential payout
- $21.86
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.6%
- Current value
- $7.8
- Potential payout
- $20.75
- Potential profit
- $12.95
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- -$3.2
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $8.87
- Potential payout
- $20.38
- Potential profit
- $11.52
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.73
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.2%
- Current value
- $10.43
- Potential payout
- $13.52
- Potential profit
- $3.09
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Current value
- $10.18
- Potential payout
- $11.52
- Potential profit
- $1.34
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
Yes position
Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?
Ends Apr 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.83
No position
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.81
JD Gaming position
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.79
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.72
No position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.15
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.99
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.21
No position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
Will someone else be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.76
No position
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 86.8% 11.52 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 74% 13.52 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 91.5% 21.86 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 38.6% 32.38 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Yes 45% 44.44 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?No 69% 16.81 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8.4% 119.05 shares
- Will another country strike Iran by March 31?No 83% 12.05 shares
- Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No 83.2% 12.02 shares
- Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No 94% 10.64 shares
- Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 59.1% 17.09 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 90.7% 11.03 shares