Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $396.22
- Potential payout
- $12.58K
- Potential profit
- $12.18K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$1.79K
Polymarket Trader
Hormuzisnotstr8
0x364d9754b1c9b754471785546ed715ede39f9f8f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $633.81
- Realized PnL
- $18.82K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- User PnL
- -$1.41K
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.4%
- Current value
- $237.58
- Potential payout
- $490.87
- Potential profit
- $253.29
- Multiplier
- 2.07x
- User PnL
- $46.68
No position
Will Donald Trump visit New Jersey in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $179.82
- Potential profit
- $179.82
- User PnL
- -$26.97
Yes position
Will Trump or Melania say "Movie Star" at the Military Mothers event?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175
- Potential profit
- $175
- User PnL
- -$123.1
No position
Will Trump say "Wind" this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $146.02
- Potential profit
- $146.02
- User PnL
- -$2.92
No position
Will Trump or Melania say "Ballroom" at the Military Mothers event?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump say "Bravest People" during Coast Guard event?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.44
- Potential profit
- $22.44
- User PnL
- -$11.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $12.82
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Arizona in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
No position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $853.56
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $805.24
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $741
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $724.94
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $653.21
No position
Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $582.59
No position
Will Trump say "Fake News" during WHCA Dinner events?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $474.46
No position
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $456
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420.02
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.2
No position
Will Trump say "March Madness" during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385.15
No position
Will Trump say "Waiter" or "Waitress" at The Villages on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $382.89
No position
Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.24
No position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $292.13
No position
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.11
Yes position
Will Trump say "Transgender" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.88
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?Yes 15% 30.1 shares
- MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?Yes 12% 30.1 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 31.1% 184.69 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 32.9% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 28% 5,000 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 15.1% 1,728.37 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETUp 14% 35.71 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 8% 3,045.7 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 7% 16,897.82 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.2% 20,800 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No 36.1% 4,797.38 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No 26.4% 5,002.43 shares