Polymarket Trader

NotSAFEKelly

0x36507c60823603f7fffeffaf15dbd5ed6d61d17c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.63K
Realized PnL: $339.67
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $151.98
Potential payout: $405.29
Potential profit: $253.31
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$6.08

No position

Will Scotland finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $293.62
Potential payout: $299.92
Potential profit: $6.3
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $50.69

Yes position

Will Michael Olise win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $28.99
Potential payout: $276.07
Potential profit: $247.08
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$26.23

No position

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $71.09
Potential payout: $258.51
Potential profit: $187.42
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$21.97

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $165.23
Potential payout: $241.21
Potential profit: $75.98
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $1.21

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $169.3
Potential payout: $198.01
Potential profit: $28.71
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $74.07
Potential payout: $146.67
Potential profit: $72.6
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $0.73

No position

Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $125.92
Potential payout: $140.7
Potential profit: $14.77
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $74.82
Potential payout: $132.44
Potential profit: $57.63
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 83.9%
Current value: $109.86
Potential payout: $131.02
Potential profit: $21.16
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $45.5
Potential payout: $128.18
Potential profit: $82.68
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$53.19

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $13.66
Potential payout: $118.75
Potential profit: $105.09
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$17.22

No position

Will South Korea be the highest-scoring team in Group A during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $56.8
Potential payout: $104.22
Potential profit: $47.42
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$22.41

No position

Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $26.52
Potential payout: $96.44
Potential profit: $69.92
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$6.27

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $3.86
Potential payout: $86.72
Potential profit: $82.86
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Ankle" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $29.09
Potential payout: $83.1
Potential profit: $54.01
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$2.49

Yes position

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $43.29
Potential payout: $74
Potential profit: $30.71
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $64.76
Potential payout: $72.36
Potential profit: $7.6
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $5.43

No position

Will Saudi Arabia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $36.92
Potential payout: $53.52
Potential profit: $16.6
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $14.22
Potential payout: $40.07
Potential profit: $25.85
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$6.21

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $11.93
Potential payout: $31.8
Potential profit: $19.88
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$4.29

Yes position

Will Falcons reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $17.64
Potential profit: $16.14
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.32

Up position

BNB Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $15.41
Potential payout: $15.81
Potential profit: $0.4
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $15.41

No position

Will Morocco go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 24.8%
Current value: $3.11
Potential payout: $12.53
Potential profit: $9.42
Multiplier: 4.03x
User PnL: -$2.88

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.96

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.35

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $9.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Up 99% 18.97 shares
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Up 99% 24.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Up 99% 9.49 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Up 99% 12.65 shares
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Up 99% 3.5 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Down 99% 18.97 shares
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Down 99% 13.56 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Up 99% 31.62 shares
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Up 99% 9.36 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Up 99% 11.23 shares
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Down 98.5% 18.97 shares
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Down 99% 8 shares