Polymarket Trader

0x366281E54E827De0A5eE3963f20CFB0DC87574d9-1771633659291

0x366281e54e827de0a5ee3963f20cfb0dc87574d9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $551.9
Realized PnL: $1.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US strike Iraq next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.57K
Potential profit: $2.57K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Iran strike on Qatar by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $777.21
Potential profit: $777.21
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $476.19
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $25.9
Potential payout: $272.6
Potential profit: $246.71
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$124.1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $256.41
Potential payout: $256.41
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $156.41

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250.75
Potential profit: $250.75
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $243.21
Potential profit: $243.21
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.15
Potential profit: $190.15
User PnL: -$30

No position

Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.22
Potential profit: $172.22
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $19.18
Potential payout: $166.77
Potential profit: $147.59
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.62
Potential profit: $161.62
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.93
Potential profit: $144.93
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

No position

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $39.31
Potential payout: $124.81
Potential profit: $85.49
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$30.69

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $109.04
Potential payout: $120.48
Potential profit: $11.45
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $9.04

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.47
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$19.82

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $9.47
Potential payout: $101.31
Potential profit: $91.84
Multiplier: 10.70x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $91.95
Potential payout: $95.94
Potential profit: $3.98
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $61.95

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.26
Potential profit: $88.26
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $82.88
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$19.54

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

No position

US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $431.38

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.77

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.52

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.5

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.55

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.33

Up position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.24

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.15

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 39% 256.41 shares
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Yes 32% 62.55 shares
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Yes 34.5% 144.93 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?

No 99.4% 119.04 shares
Will Trump visit China by April 30?

No 97.2% 376.47 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

No 28% 71.43 shares
Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia again in March?

No 15.8% 190.15 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Yes 13% 76.92 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Yes 36% 55.56 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Yes 4.4% 228.41 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Yes 17% 117.65 shares
Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Yes 24% 83.33 shares