Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $274.71
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- $1
Polymarket Trader
CommanderFun
0x36654012539432b463df3c365db188581a181c51
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.18K
- Realized PnL
- $285.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $107.74
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $11.31
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $7.74
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $105.23
- Potential payout
- $116.28
- Potential profit
- $11.05
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $5.23
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $111.74
- Potential payout
- $112.36
- Potential profit
- $0.62
- User PnL
- $11.74
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $103.93
- Potential payout
- $111.04
- Potential profit
- $7.11
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.93
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $104.35
- Potential payout
- $110.72
- Potential profit
- $6.37
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $4.35
No position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $99.41
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $6.97
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.2%
- Current value
- $83.58
- Potential payout
- $105.6
- Potential profit
- $22.02
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$16.42
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $9.47
- Potential payout
- $75.76
- Potential profit
- $66.29
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.53
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.7%
- Current value
- $9.9
- Potential payout
- $67.57
- Potential profit
- $57.67
- Multiplier
- 6.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.13
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.47
No position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $39.56
- Potential payout
- $63.29
- Potential profit
- $23.73
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$10.44
Up position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $51.52
- Potential payout
- $60.98
- Potential profit
- $9.45
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $53.87
- Potential payout
- $59.52
- Potential profit
- $5.65
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.87
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $49.72
- Potential payout
- $56.82
- Potential profit
- $7.1
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $53.27
- Potential payout
- $56.82
- Potential profit
- $3.55
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.27
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $52.42
- Potential payout
- $54.35
- Potential profit
- $1.93
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
US strikes Nigeria by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.76
- Potential profit
- $53.76
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $52.32
- Potential payout
- $52.55
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- User PnL
- $2.39
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $51.55
- Potential profit
- $46.55
- Multiplier
- 10.31x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 22.3%
- Current value
- $8.76
- Potential payout
- $39.37
- Potential profit
- $30.61
- Multiplier
- 4.49x
- User PnL
- -$1.24
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.9%
- Current value
- $9.08
- Potential payout
- $35.13
- Potential profit
- $26.05
- Multiplier
- 3.87x
- User PnL
- -$20.92
No position
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $30.45
- Potential payout
- $30.77
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $10.45
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $25.42
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $2.36
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.82
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.46
Yes position
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.49
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.48
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.73
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.57
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.39
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.24
No position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.37
No position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.58
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.41
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.14
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.63
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.36
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.34
No position
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.22
No position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.72
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.71
No position
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.35
Yes position
Will Tim Keller win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.5% 285.71 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No 88% 56.82 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Up 82% 60.98 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)No 90% 27.78 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 94.7% 105.6 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 90.1% 111.04 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 86% 58.14 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 94% 106.38 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 25.4% 39.37 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 14.8% 67.57 shares
- California voter ID referendum passes?Yes 40% 25 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 64% 15.63 shares