Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
armandiogenes
0x3669fc984ab2c12f64941eb1068a4fd05fe99ee8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $1.32
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.52
- Potential profit
- $1.52
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes 23% 4.34 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 89.1% 1.17 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 60% 2.22 shares
- 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No 63% 5.95 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?No 96.9% 1.03 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes 23% 4.35 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 31% 3.03 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 45% 2.22 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes 1.4% 71.43 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 33% 3.03 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No 66% 1.52 shares
- Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?Yes 10% 10 shares