Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.65
- Potential profit
- $94.65
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
Cedarshade
0x366d9a9bc2cf9d0db8536de0e1f2106259a9b0ef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.76
- Realized PnL
- $894.51
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $33
- User PnL
- -$13.86
Wizards position
Bulls vs. Wizards
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.46
- Potential profit
- $25.46
- User PnL
- -$7.89
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $20.76
- Potential payout
- $24.42
- Potential profit
- $3.66
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Under position
Norway vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $885.93
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.93
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $1.31
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- -$0.56
No position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 86% 24.42 shares
- Norway vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder 54% 1,925.93 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 99% 11.42 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 87.5% 11.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10AM ETDown 54% 46.3 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10AM ETDown 51.7% 48.35 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?No 94% 108.43 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?No 83% 108.43 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No 74% 123.7 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No 78% 123.69 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No 77% 127.55 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No 77% 127.56 shares