Under position
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- User PnL
- -$589
Polymarket Trader
Duskwood
0x3683101ad4a619580106b9d835f20a9612cbc4e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.77
- Realized PnL
- $3.1
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.61
- Potential profit
- $99.61
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.18
- Potential profit
- $21.18
- User PnL
- -$5.29
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $18.77
- Potential payout
- $19.9
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $11.9
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Team Orange Gaming position
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.88
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 95.5% 19.9 shares
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Under 54% 1,090.74 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 84% 11.9 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETDown 50.4% 49.61 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETDown 50% 50 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 82.2% 121.73 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 83% 121.73 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 83% 125 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 84% 125 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 75.9% 140.38 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 75.8% 140.38 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 93.6% 114.76 shares