Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $3.45
- Potential payout
- $689.4
- Potential profit
- $685.95
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.55
Polymarket Trader
ariefz
0x368cf9f9aab54ade7139fc14073160426c37b419
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.45
- Realized PnL
- $325.55
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.02
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.24
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.03
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.26
49ers position
Falcons vs. 49ers
Ends Oct 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.64
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.48
Yes position
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.73
Sharper Esport position
Valorant: Sharper Esport vs 555 (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffs
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.51
555 position
Valorant: 555 vs Oasis Gaming (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffs
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.37
Under position
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.16
Under position
CA Osasuna vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.86
Over position
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72
Yes position
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Yes position
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETDown 1% 500 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETDown 9% 55.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETDown 19% 15.79 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETDown 18% 55.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETDown 16% 62.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETUp 9% 226.92 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETUp 10% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETUp 20% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETUp 13% 76.92 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETDown 6.2% 161.54 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETDown 9.2% 108.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETDown 22% 45.45 shares