alphafeed-t

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.6
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Alien arrests in New York hit 4800+ by June 30?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $9.16
Potential profit: $8.79
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$0.64

No position

Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $6.82
Potential payout: $9.16
Potential profit: $2.34
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $5.82

Yes position

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $9.01
Potential profit: $8.6
Multiplier: 21.74x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $8.94
Potential profit: $8.86
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 15-21?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $8.46
Potential profit: $8.44
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $8.46
Potential profit: $7.23
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $7.85
Potential profit: $7.64
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will XRP reach $1.40 in June?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $7.33
Potential profit: $7.04
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $6.87
Potential profit: $6.61
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $60 in June?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $6.87
Potential profit: $6.46
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$0.62

No position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $6.47
Potential profit: $5.95
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $6.47
Potential profit: $5.47
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will there be 1-2 North Korea tests in June 2026?

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $5.5
Potential profit: $4.68
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 58.3%
Current value: $2.92
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.09
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.78
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$0.78

No position

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.08
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.4

No position

Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.13
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.55
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.53
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.68
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.49
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.4

Yes position

Will RH (RH) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.21

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 22?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $2.12

No position

Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 13?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Implied probability: 82%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Implied probability: 12.3%
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 96.6%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.65

Francesca Jones position

Nottingham Open: Talia Gibson vs Francesca Jones

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.23

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET