No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $3.99K
- Potential payout
- $4.23K
- Potential profit
- $239.05
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $197.83
Polymarket Trader
wnio2ki
0x36b6ceb032cc1e872e570b49614fdec194f038a3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.99K
- Realized PnL
- -$4.29K
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $254.27
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $25.99
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $752.54
- Potential payout
- $822.45
- Potential profit
- $69.91
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $20.56
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $745.28
- Potential payout
- $764
- Potential profit
- $18.72
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $11.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$2.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$16.65
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.28K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 86% 2.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 16?Yes 29% 8 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 85% 26.05 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 84% 1,724.73 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No 87% 1,664.76 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No 88% 1,664.76 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 96% 764 shares
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes 89% 821.01 shares
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes 89% 1.44 shares
- Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?No 86% 11.86 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 91.6% 11.98 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 89.3% 2,628.52 shares